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How Trump's 2024 Bid & Jan 6 Committee's Effort to Delegitimize Him May Pan Out_我的网站

A |     每日商报讯 “餐具杂物终于有地方收纳，以前够不到的吊顶空间也利用起来，现在做饭顺手多了，孙子也更爱来家里吃饭，家人都说这改造太值得！”近日，家住西湖区北山街道的裘奶奶，再次来到“浙建·好房子”轻装快装门店，说起家里厨房改造后的变化，老人满是欣喜。作为杭州建成开发较早的主城区，西湖区的469个住宅小区中，有超过五成是建成于2000年以前，管线老化、墙面返潮、防水失效成为居民绕不开的“烦恼”。    "I think it would be best for President Trump to hold-back on an early announcement," said Earl Rasmussen, executive vice-president of Eurasia Group. "An early announcement may be a distraction from the very critical mid-term Congressional races and provide a mechanism to mobilize the Democratic base. Currently, it looks as if there will be a landslide of historic proportions resulting in a 'Red Tidal Wave' switching both the House and the Senate to a sizable Republican majority.",Politico and the Washington Post reported last week that Trump had met with top Republican donors, discussing the midterms and a potential Trump 2024 campaign. The Post quoted one Trump ally who, speaking on conditions of anonymity, put the odds at “70-30 he announces [his presidential bid] before the midterms.” Others did not rule out that he may announce it sooner than September.,"My own view is that President Trump would better campaign for the candidates he is supporting," explained Rasmussen. "This would give extra attention to the importance of local races; provide his support to the congressional candidates while at the same time getting visibility nationwide without the focus on himself. This could be very positive for the Republican Party and the Trump movement.",Meanwhile, 49% of Republicans place Trump at the top of their list of potential presidential candidates, with Florida Governor Rick DeSantis sitting on 25%, noted US political analyst Don DeBar.,Similarly, a poll by Morning Consult/Politico released on June 29 indicated that Trump has maintained his position among GOP voters, with the majority saying they'd vote for him in a 2024 Republican presidential primary. At the same time, candidates who have either been endorsed or supported by Trump were largely successful during the GOP primaries.,"Should the economy continue to tumble downward, and if the war in Ukraine continues to induce fear of a global conflagration, Republicans may find Trump invaluable, if not indispensable, in capturing both houses of Congresses and a number of state legislatures as well," said DeBar.,Poll: Biden's Economic Approval Rating at 30%, Lower Than Nadirs for Trump and ObamaYesterday, 16:59 GMT,Dems Seeking to Reinvigorate Bases,Democratic strategists are hoping a Trump pre-midterm announcement might help Democrats galvanize their base.,"The American electorate is highly polarized by party, and a combination of a five year wall-to-wall media campaign attacking Trump, along with constant legal and procedural attacks by Democrats, the 'intelligence community' and other organs of what has become known as 'the deep state' has placed him in the role of public enemy number one in the eyes of Democrats," explained DeBar.,This situation, along with Trump's popularity among Republicans and the loss of legitimacy of GOP establishment politicians, "has also created a deep cleavage within that party along the lines of pro-Trump and anti-Trump Republican officials," according to the political analyst.,"As for energizing Democrats to come out and vote against those associated with Trump, clearly this is a part of the Democrat's strategy - the January 6 show hearings are prima facie evidence of this," he said. "But that is a strategy that has failed a number of times, beginning with the 2016 election. And the fact that Biden's numbers are at the same level as Richard Nixon's on the day before he resigned in disgrace means, absent some miraculous turnaround in the economy and a return to normalcy in eastern Europe, Democrats will go down in flames in the fall no matter the type or intensity of mobilization of their voters by any negative campaign based upon hatred of Trump.",House Jan. 6 Committee Subpoenas Secret Service Over Alleged Missing Text Messages on Capitol Breach16 July, 12:44 GMT,House Select Committee on Jan 6 Attack,The Dems apparently hope that the House Select Committee investigating the January 6 protests may throw sand in the gears of Trump and the Make America Great Again movement.,According to Politico, the panel's "much-anticipated hearing" will happen on Thursday. It is expected to feature former Trump White House press aide Sarah Matthews and former Deputy National Security Adviser Matthew Pottinger. Moreover, committee members, aides and allies say that their investigations and hearings will continue past November, with the only "hard deadline" being January 3, 2023, "when Republicans likely take over the House," Politico reports.,"The committee is a circus!" said Rasmussen. "It is even more tragic than the [Special Counsel Robert] Mueller investigation. We have hundreds of people, many held without charges, being kept and tried as political prisoners. This is not about justice; it is criminal what is happening to patriotic people exercising their right to be heard with many being lured onto Capitol grounds. The hearings are a tragedy to our nation’s underlying values.",Rasmussen projects that the Dems "will try to drag the Committee hearings out as long as possible" even though they have not received the reaction that was sought for. The Democratic Party has a lot of failing policies and hearings apparently serve as a sort of distraction. The think tank executive vice president does not think that the Dem’s effort poses an obstacle for Trump, however, like the Mueller Investigation, it could provide additional challenges.,"Clearly, the January 6 Committee is attempting to do a (former President of Brazil) Lula on Trump - tie him up in criminal and other court proceedings to render him either legally or politically ineligible to run, in order to prevent him from winning another term," said DeBar.,However, the political analyst suggested that efforts to delegitimize Trump could prompt fierce resistance from his multi-million base. DeBar does not rule out that "if Trump is barred from running through a process that appears illegitimate in front of those voters, there is a real possibility that it could provoke an actual - and not play-pretend - insurrection, which could, in turn, lead to open civil war."。

B | 今年年初，西湖区入选全省老旧住宅改造焕新微改革试点，以家装小切口破解安居大难题。对此，西湖区联动省属国企浙建集团，落地8家“浙建·好房子”社区服务门店，把改造服务阵地直接搬进社区，越来越多像裘奶奶这样的居民，切身感受到老房子焕新的幸福。

C | “量身定制”改造方案新材料、新技术缩短工期记者走进松木场这家社区门店，展示区有序排布着各类板材，还有台盆、橱柜、卫浴等样板模块，各类改造方案清晰直观。“很多人一说到装修就头痛，我们依托省属国企资源，汇聚了200余家供应商，居民可以结合自家户型条件、实际需求与预算，‘点单式’选择改造项目和材料，小到厨卫局部焕新，大到全屋整装，都能提供适配方案。

D | ”门店负责人吴娟介绍。

E | 厨房、卫生间，是改造呼声最高的两大空间，也是居家生活里使用频率最高的区域。

F | “老旧小区的厨卫面积普遍局促，特别是卫生间，还常常面临防水失效、干湿无法分离、照明不足等难题，这对于老年住户来说，更是潜藏着不小的安全隐患。”设计师黄俊杰表示，改造中除了要解决这些“硬伤”，还会在细节处进行适老化改造，比如加装扶手、把平开门改成移门，去掉地面门槛等。“改造工期长、生活受干扰，也是很多居民的顾虑。随着‘把老房子改为好房子’工作的深入推进，利用新科技、新工艺研发的新产品正加速涌现。”黄俊杰举了个例子，传统地板翻新，要拆除原有地面、找平、铺装，10平方米的客厅，起码得要一周才能完工，而拼接式装配式板材可以在原有地板基础上直接组装，一天就可以搞定。

G | 值得关注的是，浙建集团还依托“智链平台”实时同步施工进度，方便业主在线监督，创新采取“AI设计+数字房屋档案”模式，提高设计效率、留存管线三维数据，规避后期改造隐患。老房改造还能领取补贴技术导则让施工更有标准价格，更是老百姓考量旧房改造的另一道门槛。记者了解到，为进一步降低居民改造门槛、激活旧房改造潜在需求，浙建集团创新推出“浙建补”惠民补贴政策，聚焦老旧小区局部焕新、全屋整装、适老化改造等类型，补贴资金流程简单、兑现便捷。在此基础上，“浙建补”还与惠民服务、金融支持相结合，一方面让老百姓实实在在享受到政策红利，另一方面带动本地建材、施工、劳务等上下游产业协同发展。

H | “其实，老旧小区碎片化改造面积小、收益低，经营主体普遍不愿接单，导致居民有需求但很难落地。”西湖区住建局相关负责人介绍，而“浙建·好房子”社区服务门店打通了居家改造服务的“最后一公里”，集合了展示、设计、签约、售后等功能，“接下来，我们计划在各镇街都能打造一个实景案例样板间，让居民可以就近、直观感受到改造成果。

I | ”此外，西湖区还联合浙建集团编制《老旧住宅轻量化装配式改造技术导则》，明确安全、环保、适老化三大硬性建设标准，并聚焦厨卫焕新、防水防潮、居家适老三大高频改造场景，细化施工规范，为装配式改造提供统一技术支撑。

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